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Make-Up Of A Grand National Winner


All stats point to Paul Nichols-trained 33/1 shot for Aintree ‘lottery’

The Grand National is the ultimate lottery in sport and over the past 50 years, only one horse (Red Rum) has won the Grand National more than once.

As experts in probability and numbers, the lottery betting brand Lottoland.ie has analysed data from the past 50 years of the famous race to provide punters with a lucky set of numbers to guide their homework for this year’s Grand National.

The research, conducted by the same risk management team that manage the insurance for some of the world’s biggest Jackpots on Lottoland, looked at key stats for winning horses over the last 50 years to give punters the best chance of having that winning Grand National betting experience.


Forget the lucky number seven. If you want Grand National success, bet on number six.

Looking back at the likes of Rag Trade in 1976, Mr Frisk in 1990 and most recently Don’t Push It in 2010, horses winning the Grand National have worn the number six saddlecloth a total of seven times in the last 50 years – that’s a winning percentage of 14%!

If you want to cover all bases for your place bets, go for the horses wearing either the number four or eight. Those numbers have won a total of eight Grand Nationals over the period, four each, with Neptune Collonges being the latest horse to win with either number (4).

The numbers two, ten and 11 are also very lucky, with each number having won the Grand National three times.


Factoring in winners of the race over the period, the average age of the horse has been 9.88 –  so if you’re going to bet on a horse, make sure it’s ten years of age – this brings Perfect Candidate, Tenor Nivernais, O’Faolains Boy and Just A Par into play for the stats trend followers out there.


Weight is also an important factor when deciding the winner of the race. The average weight of Grand National winners is 10st 9lbs – so Just A Par, Measure Of My Dreams, Raz de Maree and Stellar Notion fit the bill.

Some the tried and trusted, foolproof (ish) winning formula says…

Bet on Just A Par, trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by Harry Cobden. Based on the research, it is the most likely horse to win the National, giving you a nice win at odds of 33-1 to re-invest in tomorrow night’s Lotto draw, where with Lottoland, you can uniquely double the current jackpot from €7M to €14M!

Graham Ross, Country Manager Ireland commented:

“The Grand National is the closest thing to a lottery in sport and that’s why the Irish public love it so. Our team of number crunchers feel like they’ve cracked the code with Just A Par, a selection that we know will resonate with all the US Masters golf fans out there.

“Here’s hoping he comes home in front and that one of our growing community of Irish players gets the double up in tomorrow night’s Lotto draw, maybe even including his Grand National race number of 30.”

About The PA Team

This article was written by a member of The PA Team. If you would like to join the team, drop us an email at write@punditarena.com.