The sixth round of the Allianz Football Leagues continue this weekend alongside the Hurling League quarter-finals and here at Bear in the Square, we choose the value bets to follow.
We have rated the bets from one to five, with one being dodgy and five being a sure thing.
4. Goal-shy rivals fight for survival
Waterford and Cork clash in a battle for survival in Division 1A this Sunday. Both team’s form has been poor so far and we expect a tight tense affair here. Cork have been very disappointing since their opening win against Kilkenny.
Simply, they do not score enough goals. This has been a feature of their last two league campaigns.
Despite the emergence of some impressive young forwards last season, they still appear dependent on Patrick Horgan.
Waterford has improved in the last two games with two wins (including a win against 14-man Cork). They
continue to persist with the sweeper system which will limit the number of goals in their games.
In the nine games Cork or Waterford have been involved in this year’s league, not one of those games has had more than two goals in it.
Odds: Under 2.5 goals Cork v Waterford 6/5
3. Down attacking problems to continue
Tipperary will be hoping to continue their promotion drive this Sunday against Down. Gathering seven points from a possible ten, they need another win to keep the heat on table toppers Cavan and Roscommon.
Down started their league solidly with four points from the opening six on offer against Louth and Roscommon.
Since then, however, their form has dipped. Defeats to Cavan and Clare have left them in the relegation battle.
Their scoring returns have not been good enough. In five rounds, they have only scored 14 points or under in four matches, only beating this against Louth scoring 17 points.
Expect their struggles in front of goal to continue.
Odds: Down under 16.5 points 4/5
2. Goalless Louth to struggle again
Meath and Louth meet in a basement battle in Division Two. Meath have struggled after a promising start to this
year’s league. They need a win here against their local rivals.
Given the ability of their players, they should be beating Louth here.
Louth’s form has been diabolical this year. With a score difference of -52 and averaging 0-11 per game, they are doomed to relegation to Division Three.
They have yet to score a goal this season. Meath despite their troubles have scored five goals in five games.
Odds: Meath to score first goal 4/5
1. Tipperary to end Dublin’s League campaign
Dublin host Tipperary in NHL quarter-final on Sunday in Parnell Park. Pat Gilroy’s men have really struggled this league campaign.
Cuala’s club campaign has impacted this form greatly. Simply, Dublin need those players back to put up a challenge to the likes of Tipperary.
For the Premier, they should have too much here for the hosts. They have had a very successful league campaign thus far. Despite experimenting, they still finished top of Division 1A.
While we do not doubt Tipperary’s ability to put up a big score here, we do not think that Dublin can score enough to beat the total points mark of 47.5.
Add in the expected poor conditions and the fact that the game takes place in Parnell Park.
Odds: Under 47.5 points Dublin v Tipperary 5/6